The math at Take-Two Interactive tells two very different stories right now. For the fiscal fourth quarter ending in March, analysts see earnings per share tumbling as much as 73% from a year earlier, with estimates ranging from $0.20 to $0.58. Yet for the full fiscal year 2026, the consensus calls for EPS of $2.44 — a dramatic reversal powered by the company’s deep bench of franchises.
That split narrative has left the stock searching for direction. Shares closed the week at €181.00 in European trading, roughly 16% below where they started the year and nearly 20% off the 52-week high of $225.30 set back in October 2025. The relative strength index sits at 40.7, signaling neutral-to-slightly-oversold territory.
Analyst Confidence Remains Unshaken
Despite the price weakness, Wall Street isn’t blinking. Within a 48-hour window, three firms — Benchmark, DA Davidson, and Wedbush — all reiterated buy ratings with $300 price targets. Their reasoning varies: DA Davidson points to above-average engagement in NBA 2K26, while Wedbush highlights progress in mobile payments through the Zynga label as a long-term margin driver. Benchmark’s Mike Hickey expects the May 21 earnings report to meet consensus estimates.
Wells Fargo, maintaining an “Overweight” stance, trimmed its target slightly to $295 but projects adjusted EPS of $9.18 for fiscal 2027 — a figure largely dependent on the launch of GTA Online 2.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Take-Two?
The November 19 Date That Changes Everything
All eyes are on the summer marketing campaign for Grand Theft Auto VI, officially confirmed for a November 19, 2026 release. Rockstar Games has locked in the date, and the promotional machine is expected to fire up in the coming months. For now, that catalyst remains months away, but analysts are already modeling how GTA Online 2 will reshape the revenue picture starting in fiscal 2027.
In the meantime, the company’s other segments are providing ballast. Mobile advertising revenue grew 10% year-over-year, while live-service titles like NBA 2K26 continue generating predictable recurring revenue. These streams help cushion the volatility that comes with a blockbuster release cycle.
Technical Hurdles and Catalysts Ahead
The stock faces a clear technical challenge: the 200-day moving average sits at roughly €199, a level it hasn’t been able to reclaim. With the May 21 earnings report approaching and the summer marketing push for GTA VI on the horizon, two potential catalysts could provide the clarity investors are waiting for.
The market will be watching closely when management presents fourth-quarter net bookings and details on the summer campaign. A convincing outlook could put that 200-day line firmly in play as the next technical target. For now, the gap between fundamental optimism and market reality remains wide — but the calendar is ticking toward a resolution.
Ad
Take-Two Stock: Buy or Sell?! New Take-Two Analysis from April 26 delivers the answer:
The latest Take-Two figures speak for themselves: Urgent action needed for Take-Two investors. Is it worth buying or should you sell? Find out what to do now in the current free analysis from April 26.
Take-Two: Buy or sell? Read more here...
