HomeAnalysisStrategy's Bitcoin Bet: A High-Stakes Balancing Act

Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet: A High-Stakes Balancing Act

The recent volatility in cryptocurrency markets has cast a spotlight on Strategy’s aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin, testing the resilience of its investment model. A sharp weekend decline in Bitcoin’s value transformed paper gains into potential losses, raising questions about the timing and financing of the company’s latest purchase.

A Precarious Position Near Break-Even

As of February 1, Strategy holds a substantial treasury of 713,502 Bitcoin. The total cost for this position is approximately $54.26 billion, resulting in an average acquisition price of $76,052 per BTC. The asset’s price briefly dipped below $75,000 during Sunday’s Asian trading session, touching around $74,500—a level not seen since early 2025. This move temporarily pushed Strategy’s unrealized losses toward the $1 billion mark. A subsequent recovery to the mid-$77,000 range narrowed the gap significantly, leaving the company’s Bitcoin holdings hovering near their break-even point.

Key Data Points:
* Bitcoin Holdings: 713,502 BTC
* Average Purchase Price: $76,052 per BTC
* Most Recent Acquisition: 855 BTC for $75.3 million
* Funding Method: Sale of common stock

Questionable Timing on Latest Acquisition

According to a Monday release, the company’s most recent purchase involved 855 Bitcoin for about $75.3 million, financed entirely through the sale of common equity. The average price paid was $87,974 per coin. This acquisition occurred just before the market downturn, shifting focus from growth potential to the sensitivity of the company’s balance sheet during rapid corrections.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Strategy?

Rising Capital Needs and Investor Incentives

Concurrently, Strategy is actively seeking to attract additional capital. The firm increased the dividend on its “Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock” (STRC) by 25 basis points to 11.25%. This adjustment applies to monthly periods starting February 1, 2026, and marks the sixth such increase since the security began trading in July 2025.

The company reports it has established $2.25 billion in reserves to cover dividend obligations for these perpetual preferred shares. Annual dividend payments from these instruments total roughly $887 million. Furthermore, between January 26 and February 1, Strategy sold 673,527 Class A shares, generating net proceeds of $106.1 million.

The market’s reaction to this mix of heavy Bitcoin exposure and ongoing capital raising has been pronounced. Strategy’s share price has declined sharply, closing at €119.60 on Monday. This places it just above its 52-week low of €118.90.

Attention now centers on two critical factors: whether Bitcoin can stabilize above Strategy’s average cost basis, and if the company can continue funding its strategy—including the heightened preferred dividend payments—under sustainable market conditions.

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