Investors are showing signs of anxiety as BigBear.ai shares experience significant downward pressure in the days leading up to the company’s quarterly earnings announcement. The artificial intelligence specialist faces pessimistic expectations from market participants, triggering a substantial sell-off.
Quarterly Report Draws Intense Scrutiny
All eyes are fixed on the quarterly report scheduled for November 10, 2025, with analyst projections painting a concerning picture:
- Anticipated loss per share ranging between $0.06 and $0.07
- Projected substantial revenue decline to approximately $31.8 million
- Previously reduced annual guidance from management
- Withdrawn EBITDA forecast
Company officials have attributed their cautious outlook to disruptions affecting contracts with the U.S. Army, creating additional uncertainty around the company’s near-term performance.
Sustained Selling Pressure Weighs on Valuation
The stock remains firmly entrenched in a downward trajectory, extending losses from recent weeks. During yesterday’s trading session, shares declined by nearly 9%, continuing a pattern of negative momentum that has erased roughly 30% of the company’s market value in under one month. This persistent weakness casts doubt on the stock’s earlier annual performance.
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Fundamental Metrics Face Challenges
Even prior quarterly results revealed troubling signs, with second-quarter figures showing an 18.3% year-over-year revenue contraction and deeply negative net margins. The upcoming financial release will be carefully examined for any indication of potential recovery.
Despite these revenue headwinds, BigBear.ai maintains considerable cash reserves. Market experts currently display divided opinions on the stock, with most recommending a “hold” position. One research firm recently reduced its price target for the company’s securities.
Recent operational achievements, including the deployment of the VeriScan platform at another major airport, have failed to generate positive momentum for the share price. Valuation multiples continue to appear elevated when measured against industry averages, leaving investors questioning whether the AI specialist can deliver an unexpected positive surprise with its forthcoming earnings report.
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