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BayWa Faces Twin Storms: Criminal Probe and Accelerated Energy Exit as Shares Remain Under Pressure

BayWa’s restructuring drive has taken a dramatic turn on two fronts: the Munich-based agricultural conglomerate is not only pushing ahead with a complete retreat from the energy business by 2029, but now also faces a criminal investigation into alleged balance-sheet manipulation by former executives. The dual pressure keeps the stock deep in crisis territory.

The Munich public prosecutor’s office has opened proceedings against members of BayWa’s previous management board, probing suspected cooked books for the 2023 financial year and possible breach of trust. The accusations centre on the debt-fuelled expansion strategy overseen by former chief executive Klaus Josef Lutz, who built up the renewable energy arm and acquired Dutch agricultural trader Cefetra and New Zealand fruit producer Turners & Growers between 2008 and 2023. Lutz has denied personal responsibility. The current restructuring is in many ways a dismantling of that expansionist legacy, aiming to refocus BayWa on its traditional core: German agricultural trading, farm machinery and building materials.

The exit from energy reaches further than previously disclosed. A revised restructuring agreement, reported by dpa-AFX, plans a complete disposal of all energy-related assets. That includes not only the renewable-energy subsidiary BayWa r.e., but also the conventional heating-oil and pellet business. The heat-and-mobility unit is slated for sale in 2029 at the latest. “Clear focus on agricultural trade, farm technology and building materials. This business model has carried BayWa for decades and can be led profitably into the future,” said GVB president Müller, summarising the new strategy.

The sale of BayWa r.e. is the centrepiece of the plan. An internal email from r.e. chief Hans-Joachim Ziems to senior staff indicates the transaction is imminent — the subsidiary will be transferred to a “transformation investor”, with ownership details to be announced “within a few weeks”. Currently BayWa owns r.e. jointly with Swiss investor EIP. Ziems argued that acting now “accelerates our transformation further, and under our own steam”. For the parent company, the move offers the critical benefit of removing r.e.’s debt from its balance sheet. But the speed comes at a cost: both BayWa and EIP must waive outstanding claims against r.e. The expected sale proceeds have been slashed to roughly €900 million, down from the original €1.7 billion estimate, after r.e. management sharply lowered its earnings targets last spring.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying BayWa?

While the energy exit addresses BayWa’s debts, the criminal probe erodes investor confidence. The two core shareholders — who together hold about 67% of BayWa shares — have agreed to place their stakes with a trustee as a safeguard. The condition for reclaiming the shares is that they provide at least €220 million for a planned capital increase in 2029. If they fail to do so, the trustee can sell the equity. This construction is designed to prevent the restructuring from being blocked by a lack of commitment from anchor investors. Simultaneously, the creditor banks plan to convert up to €700 million of loans into a subordinated instrument, meaning other creditors would be repaid first if the turnaround effort fails again.

The share price reflects deep market scepticism. At Friday’s close of €11.00, the stock lost 0.45% on the day, remaining well below its 50-day moving average of €12.54 and its 200-day average of €15.08. On a weekly basis the decline is 7.53%, and the monthly loss reaches 11.60%. Since the start of the year, BayWa has shed 34.33%, and over twelve months the slide is 44.16%. The stock trades 53.77% off its 52-week high of €23.90 from December 2025, though it retains a 38.13% cushion above the year’s low of €8.00 set in October. The relative strength index of 42.3 points to a neutral reading, but annualised volatility of 72.44% warns of further sharp swings.

A preliminary agreement among the board, creditor banks and major shareholders is in place, but full legal binding requires approval from all parties’ governing bodies and further details. The final restructuring plan is now expected by autumn 2026 — a two-year delay from the original 2028 target, pushing complete financial recovery to the end of 2030. Until then, shareholders face the twin uncertainties of criminal proceedings against the old guard and the arduous execution of a plan that shreds the energy empire built over a decade and a half.

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