Despite posting unexpectedly strong quarterly results and raising its financial guidance, Weyerhaeuser Company continues to struggle with a persistent downward trend in its share price. The timberland and real estate giant now faces a critical test: whether its upcoming December Investor Day can provide the catalyst needed to reverse market sentiment.
Strategic Portfolio Moves Advance
The timberland REIT is actively executing its strategic repositioning through significant portfolio optimization. A major transaction involving the sale of 86,000 acres of timberlands in Georgia and Alabama to Forest Investment Associates for $220 million is scheduled for completion in December. This move demonstrates management’s commitment to refining its timberland holdings and redeploying capital toward more profitable operations.
Quarterly Performance Exceeds Expectations
Weyerhaeuser delivered a surprising performance in the third quarter, overcoming challenging market conditions to beat analyst estimates. The company reported adjusted earnings of $0.06 per share, surpassing projections. More significantly, management raised its full-year 2025 EBITDA guidance for the real estate and natural resources segments by $40 million, bringing the updated forecast to $390 million. This upward revision indicates stronger-than-anticipated resilience in certain business units.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Weyerhaeuser?
Market Sentiment Remains Cautious
While the stock currently trades just above its 52-week low and has declined more than 28% year-to-date, research analysts maintain a generally constructive outlook. RBC Capital Markets recently reaffirmed its “Outperform” rating on Weyerhaeuser shares, though it modestly reduced its price target from $31 to $30. The firm cited continued softness in wood products markets while emphasizing the company’s relatively strong competitive positioning.
All eyes now turn to the December 11 Investor Day in New York, where CEO Devin Stockfish and his leadership team will present the company’s strategic roadmap through 2030. This event represents a crucial opportunity for management to convince investors of Weyerhaeuser’s long-term growth narrative and potentially break the stock’s negative momentum.
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